Columbia City
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #20
New Haven Regional Rank #3
Manchester Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.4%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference NorthWood JV Invitational Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 333 363 271 437 410 334 1,242 362 346 299 354
Team Adjusted Rating 363 271 437 410 334 333 362 333 346 299 354
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference NorthWood JV Invitational Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Kenya Leitch 10 18:24 18:20 18:54 18:13 18:22 18:16 18:22 18:28 18:28 18:30 18:29
117  Riley Myers 9 19:49 19:50 19:48 19:58 20:06 19:54 20:04 19:48 19:38 20:17
130  Samantha Lickey 11 19:57 19:49 20:03 20:05 20:22 20:15 20:09 19:47 19:48 19:49 19:49
276  Madelyn Shively 9 20:46 20:58 20:22 21:42 21:26 20:50 20:52 21:04 20:35 20:38
364  Lillian Ralston 9 21:05 21:08 20:46 21:31 21:21 20:51 21:25 21:06 20:54 21:20
455  Brooke Sigler 12 21:27 21:26 21:30 20:18 21:44 21:28 20:55 22:29 21:42 21:16 21:53
773  Lorin Stoddard 10 22:14 23:50 21:58 22:03 22:22 22:02 22:23 21:48 21:50 22:48 22:27 22:11
848  Addison Leamon 9 22:25 22:43 22:19 22:41 22:13 22:26 21:54 22:39 22:22 22:26
1,020  Allyssa Spohr 11 22:50 23:04 22:41 22:45 22:26 23:02 22:54 25:40 26:13
1,208  Madelyn Bradberry 9 23:15 22:13 22:34 22:45 22:18 23:02 23:39 23:34 23:38 23:50
Annalise Swonger 10 23:48 24:06 25:27 24:27 24:22 24:21 23:40 23:23 23:33 23:12
Emma Kennedy 12 24:18 22:16 26:48 24:05 24:37 24:03 24:22
Allison Mullett 11 26:02 25:13 25:57 26:57 26:53 26:06 25:45 25:51 25:32




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 17.7 427 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.3 4.1 7.3 11.0 16.5 19.3 16.3 12.1 5.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.1 148 0.0 92.5 6.4 1.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 42 93.7 6.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kenya Leitch 100% 11.7 0.2 0.7 1.4 3.3 5.1 7.4 7.2 7.4 7.4 6.3 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.0 3.4 3.4 3.0 3.1 2.2 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.4 100.0%
Riley Myers 100% 113.9 79.2%
Samantha Lickey 100% 128.0 62.7%
Madelyn Shively 100% 202.8 0.5%
Lillian Ralston 100% 218.9 0.0%
Brooke Sigler 100% 230.5 0.0%
Lorin Stoddard 100% 245.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kenya Leitch 100% 2.6 1.2 32.3 28.9 22.3 8.4 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Riley Myers 100% 26.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.7 3.1 2.8 3.6 4.6 6.0 5.6 6.0 100.0%
Samantha Lickey 100% 30.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.7 3.4 4.6 100.0%
Madelyn Shively 100% 50.4 100.0%
Lillian Ralston 100% 61.1 100.0%
Brooke Sigler 100% 77.0 100.0%
Lorin Stoddard 100% 119.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kenya Leitch 1.0 53.4 46.0 0.5 0.0
Riley Myers 5.7 3.4 9.3 15.2 29.8 21.1 11.6 6.0 2.9 0.7 0.1
Samantha Lickey 6.8 1.3 3.4 7.6 16.6 26.0 19.6 13.2 8.6 3.5 0.2
Madelyn Shively 11.7 0.5 1.5 4.4 15.7 42.3 20.0 9.0 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
Lillian Ralston 13.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 7.3 23.5 22.7 17.5 9.6 6.4 4.3 2.7 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
Brooke Sigler 17.9 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.4 8.8 12.4 12.4 11.3 10.0 9.6 7.7 7.0 6.4 4.3 1.9
Lorin Stoddard 27.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.8 2.8 5.1 8.4